Updated September 14, 2023:Ultimately, Apple chose the date September 18, 2023, which is only 1 day before our predicted day
- iOS and iPadOS 17 will arrive at the end of the year for everyone
- Tuesday, September 19 seems to us to be the most likely release date
- Many new features will be there
The end of summer is approaching, and with it, the start of an important period for the Californian firm. Indeed, over the next few weeks, Apple will refine its new OS with beta versions published generally every week until the final version expected just before the fall. Remember that iOS 17, iPadOS 17, macOS Sonoma, but also watchOS 10 and tvOS 17 were seen during the WWDC 2023 conference in early June (summarized here).
And if Apple has not published a release date for the general public for each of these major updates, historically, surprises in this area have been rare. We can therefore rely on different indices to offer you a probable firing window and thus indicate when you will be able, in all likelihood, to install iOS 17, iPad OS 17 or even one of these other OS on your machines.
To read:
- iOS 17 and iPadOS 17: several dozen changes to discover
- iOS 17: the list of compatible iPhones
- iPadOS 17: the list of compatible iPads
Data analysis, history and rumors
iOS History
First, let's see when the previous major iterations of iOS were released up to 11 years ago:
- iOS 16 :September 12, 2022 (Monday)
- iOS 15 :September 20, 2021 (Monday)
- iOS 14 :September 16, 2020 (Wednesday)
- iOS 13 :September 19, 2019 (Thursday)
- iOS 12 :September 17, 2018 (Monday)
- iOS 11 :September 19, 2017 (Tuesday)
- iOS 10 :September 13, 2016 (Tuesday)
- iOS 9 :September 16, 2015 (Wednesday)
- iOS 8 :September 17, 2014 (Wednesday)
- iOS 7 :September 18, 2013 (Wednesday)
- iOS 6 :September 19, 2012 (Wednesday)
In trend on the choice of the day of the week, we see that Apple seems to prefer theWednesday first, thenMonday.Monday was notably chosen in 2021 and 2022, for, respectively, iOS 15 and iOS 16.
History of iPhone releases in September
Let's now see how the release dates of previous versions of iOS are positioned according to the pre-order and release dates of the iPhone:
- iPhone 14: presented on September 7, 2022, pre-orders on the 9th and released on the 16th
- iPhone 13: presented on September 14, 2021, pre-orders on the 17th and released on the 24th
- iPhone 12: presented on October 13, 2020, pre-orders on the 16th and released on the 23rd
- iPhone 11: presented on September 10, 2019, pre-orders on the 13th and released on the 20th
- iPhone XS: presented on September 12, 2018, pre-orders on the 14th and released on the 21st
- iPhone 8: presented on September 12, 2017, pre-orders on the 15th and released on the 22nd
- iPhone 7: presented on September 7, 2016, pre-orders on the 9th and released on the 16th
We see that the release date of iOS, since 2016, fits perfectlybetween the date of pre-orders for the new iPhones and their actual release date.
Rumors for the release of iPhone 15
For the moment, we have not yet heard any rumors regarding a probable release date for the iPhone 15. They should logically arrive in September, during the second or third week of the month, according to Apple's history. We will update this article as soon as sources close to Apple communicate on this subject to use it and clarify our predictions.
Updated August 17, 2023: Mark Gurman from Bloomberg announced in August, based on his sources, that Tuesday September 12, 2023 would likely be the day chosen by Apple to broadcast its iPhone 15 keynote.See the details hereabout this. We have therefore adjusted our predictions based on this information: who says keynote on the 12th, says iPhone release on the 15th for pre-order, and the following Friday, the 22nd, in stores and for delivery. As seen previously, iOS is generally released between the announcement of the new iPhones and the day they are available in stores. For iOS 17,
What likely release date for iOS 17 and other new software
By combining all this information, in our opinion, here isWhen could iOS 17 be released, from most likely to least likely:
- Most likely:iOS 17 availableMonday 18or theTuesday September 19
- Quite likely:iOS 17 availablemardi 12or theWednesday September 13(Monday would have been to be considered, but it falls on September 11 this year, an important day in the history of the United States since 2001)
- Quite unlikely:iOS 17 availableMonday 4or themardi 5september
- Very unlikely:iOS 17 availableMonday 25or theTuesday September 26
Remember that these are hypotheses built on information available to everyone: Apple's history and recent rumors read on the web. It is obvious that we are not sure of anything at this time. It is entirely possible, even if it is unlikely to happen, that iOS 17 will be released exceptionally at another time, for example at the beginning of October, even if the keynote takes place in September. In any case, we will surely have the answers before the end of the summer!
And you, what iOS release date would you bet your money on?
i-nfo.fr - Official iPhon.fr app
By : Keleops AG
Editor-in-chief for iPhon.fr. Pierre is like Indiana Jones, looking for the lost iOS trick. Also a long-time Mac user, Apple devices hold no secrets for him. Contact: pierre[a]iphon.fr.